predicted sports
← UFC 296
Shamil Gaziev
14-3 · Orthodox
vs
Martin Buday
16-2 · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Shamil Gaziev def.
KO/TKO · R2 0:56
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
77"
36
Age
34
2.94
SLpM
4.39
46%
Str. Acc.
53%
4.92
SApM
4.49
45%
Str. Def.
55%
1.06
TD Avg.
0.15
83%
TD Def.
93%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Martin Buday
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Shamil Gaziev
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Martin Buday
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Shamil Gaziev finishes 33% · finished 50% (6 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Martin Buday finishes 13% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.