predicted sports
← UFC 296
Andre Fili
25-14 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Lucas Almeida
15-5 · Orthodox
Featherweight
Result
Andre Fili def.
KO/TKO · R1 3:32
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
71"
36
Age
35
3.89
SLpM
4.94
37%
Str. Acc.
39%
4.55
SApM
5.36
49%
Str. Def.
44%
2.24
TD Avg.
0.00
71%
TD Def.
53%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Lucas Almeida
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Andre Fili
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Andre Fili
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Andre Fili finishes 9% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 50% (3-3)
As the rating underdog 40% (4-6)
With a reach advantage 40% (4-6)
Lucas Almeida finishes 17% · finished 50% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.