predicted sports
← UFC 296
Ariane da Silva
17-11 · Orthodox
vs
Casey O'Neill
11-2 · Orthodox
Women's Flyweight
Result
Ariane da Silva def.
SUB · R2 1:18
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
69"
32
Age
28
4.05
SLpM
7.89
41%
Str. Acc.
52%
4.40
SApM
5.53
50%
Str. Def.
57%
0.47
TD Avg.
1.40
68%
TD Def.
70%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.70

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

58%
younger fighters win at Women's Flyweight
187 fights · edge Casey O'Neill
49%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Flyweight
162 fights · edge Casey O'Neill
63%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Flyweight
168 fights · edge Casey O'Neill
37%
of Women's Flyweight fights end inside the distance
188 fights
By the Numbers
Ariane da Silva finishes 18% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 63% (5-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
Casey O'Neill finishes 50% · finished 13% (8 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.