predicted sports
← UFC 296
Irene Aldana
15-8 · Orthodox
vs
Karol Rosa
19-8 · Orthodox
Women's Bantamweight
Result
Irene Aldana def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
67"
38
Age
31
5.19
SLpM
5.47
39%
Str. Acc.
55%
6.64
SApM
4.28
56%
Str. Def.
49%
0.15
TD Avg.
1.08
77%
TD Def.
72%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Women's Bantamweight
115 fights · edge Karol Rosa
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Bantamweight
99 fights · edge Irene Aldana
53%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Bantamweight
100 fights · edge Irene Aldana
36%
of Women's Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
115 fights
By the Numbers
Irene Aldana finishes 33% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 60% (3-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
Karol Rosa finishes 0% · finished 0% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 71% (5-2)
With a reach advantage 67% (4-2)
Giving up reach 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.