predicted sports
← UFC 296
Shavkat Rakhmonov
19-0 · Orthodox
vs
Stephen Thompson
17-9-1 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Shavkat Rakhmonov def.
SUB · R2 4:56
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
75"
31
Age
43
3.25
SLpM
4.05
60%
Str. Acc.
46%
2.17
SApM
3.00
51%
Str. Def.
54%
1.40
TD Avg.
0.23
85%
TD Def.
63%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Shavkat Rakhmonov
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Shavkat Rakhmonov
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Shavkat Rakhmonov
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Shavkat Rakhmonov finishes 86% · finished 0% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (6-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (6-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (6-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (6-0)
Stephen Thompson finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 33% (2-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.