predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Steve Garcia
19-6 · Southpaw
vs
Melquizael Costa
26-8 · Southpaw
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Steve Garcia def.
KO/TKO · R2 1:01
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
71"
34
Age
29
5.46
SLpM
4.29
48%
Str. Acc.
47%
2.22
SApM
3.19
59%
Str. Def.
50%
0.77
TD Avg.
1.53
89%
TD Def.
50%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Melquizael Costa
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Steve Garcia
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Steve Garcia
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Steve Garcia finishes 70% · finished 20% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (6-0)
Melquizael Costa finishes 40% · finished 20% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox 86% (6-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (6-3)
As the rating underdog 67% (4-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.