predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Tim Elliott
22-14-1 · Southpaw
vs
Sumudaerji
19-7 (1 NC) · Southpaw
Bantamweight · APEX cage
Result
Tim Elliott def.
SUB · R1 4:02
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
72"
39
Age
30
3.51
SLpM
4.40
43%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.00
SApM
2.29
56%
Str. Def.
63%
3.61
TD Avg.
0.76
59%
TD Def.
73%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Sumudaerji
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Sumudaerji
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Tim Elliott
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Tim Elliott finishes 22% · finished 11% (9 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
Giving up reach 75% (6-2)
When older than opponent 67% (6-3)
Sumudaerji finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.