predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Nasrat Haqparast
18-6 · Southpaw
vs
Jamie Mullarkey
18-9 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Nasrat Haqparast def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:44
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
74"
30
Age
31
6.36
SLpM
4.10
45%
Str. Acc.
46%
6.00
SApM
4.28
63%
Str. Def.
54%
0.34
TD Avg.
2.46
86%
TD Def.
70%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Nasrat Haqparast
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jamie Mullarkey
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Nasrat Haqparast
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Nasrat Haqparast finishes 10% · finished 10% (10 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 83% (5-1)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 17% · finished 42% (12 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 63% (5-3)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.