predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Joaquim Silva
14-6 · Southpaw
vs
Clay Guida
38-22 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Joaquim Silva def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
70"
37
Age
44
3.43
SLpM
2.63
43%
Str. Acc.
33%
4.17
SApM
3.00
53%
Str. Def.
61%
0.34
TD Avg.
3.10
70%
TD Def.
66%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Joaquim Silva
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Clay Guida
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Joaquim Silva
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Joaquim Silva finishes 17% · finished 33% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
Vs southpaws 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (3-3)
Giving up reach 50% (3-3)
Clay Guida finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.