predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Rafael Estevam
14-1 · Orthodox
vs
Charles Johnson
19-9 · Switch
Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Rafael Estevam def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
69"
Reach
70"
29
Age
35
2.40
SLpM
4.54
39%
Str. Acc.
49%
3.90
SApM
3.88
45%
Str. Def.
55%
4.91
TD Avg.
0.47
66%
TD Def.
66%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Rafael Estevam
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Charles Johnson
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Rafael Estevam
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Rafael Estevam finishes 0% · finished 25% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
Charles Johnson finishes 20% · finished 13% (15 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 75% (6-2)
Vs southpaws 60% (3-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 56% (5-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.