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Lightweight
· APEX cage
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
70"
36
Age
33
3.20
SLpM
4.13
50%
Str. Acc.
38%
3.49
SApM
5.28
55%
Str. Def.
52%
1.89
TD Avg.
0.00
100%
TD Def.
83%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Nikolas Motta
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Trey Ogden
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Trey Ogden
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Trey Ogden
finishes 0% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
In the small (APEX) cage
60%
(3-2)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
With a reach advantage
50%
(2-2)
Nikolas Motta
finishes 33% · finished 50% (6 fights)
When older than opponent
60%
(3-2)
Giving up reach
60%
(3-2)
In the small (APEX) cage
50%
(2-2)
As the rating underdog
40%
(2-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.