predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Chase Hooper
16-5-1 · Southpaw
vs
Jordan Leavitt
13-4 · Southpaw
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Chase Hooper def.
SUB · R1 2:58
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
71"
26
Age
31
4.50
SLpM
2.18
49%
Str. Acc.
58%
3.02
SApM
1.57
39%
Str. Def.
59%
2.43
TD Avg.
2.97
55%
TD Def.
30%
2.10
Sub. Avg.
1.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Chase Hooper
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Chase Hooper
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jordan Leavitt
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Chase Hooper finishes 45% · finished 27% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
With a reach advantage 70% (7-3)
Jordan Leavitt finishes 40% · finished 30% (10 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (5-0)
When younger than opponent 71% (5-2)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.