← UFC Fight Night
Middleweight
· APEX cage
Result
Brendan Allen def.
SUB · R3 0:38
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
76"
30
Age
38
3.75
SLpM
2.50
52%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.78
SApM
3.04
47%
Str. Def.
43%
1.52
TD Avg.
1.43
57%
TD Def.
35%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
1.30
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Brendan Allen
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Paul Craig
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Brendan Allen
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Brendan Allen
finishes 41% · finished 12% (17 fights)
Vs southpaws
100%
(8-0)
With a reach advantage
100%
(6-0)
In 5-round fights
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
89%
(8-1)
Paul Craig
finishes 45% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(2-0)
Giving up reach
75%
(3-1)
As the rating favorite
50%
(3-3)
Vs southpaws
50%
(2-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.