predicted sports
← UFC 295
John Castaneda
21-8-1 · Switch
vs
Kyung Ho Kang
19-11 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Catch Weight
Result
John Castaneda def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
73"
34
Age
38
4.95
SLpM
3.13
51%
Str. Acc.
47%
5.07
SApM
3.32
54%
Str. Def.
54%
1.49
TD Avg.
1.97
75%
TD Def.
68%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win across the UFC
3,067 fights · edge John Castaneda
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins across the UFC
2,686 fights · edge Kyung Ho Kang
59%
the rating favorite wins across the UFC
2,745 fights · edge John Castaneda
50%
of all UFC fights end inside the distance
3,068 fights
By the Numbers
John Castaneda finishes 25% · finished 13% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)
Kyung Ho Kang finishes 20% · finished 0% (5 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (1-1)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.