predicted sports
← UFC 295
Jared Gordon
21-9 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Mark Madsen
12-2 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Jared Gordon def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:42
Tale of the Tape
68"
Reach
72"
37
Age
41
5.57
SLpM
3.56
53%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.11
SApM
3.97
55%
Str. Def.
52%
1.91
TD Avg.
2.86
60%
TD Def.
62%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jared Gordon
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Mark Madsen
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mark Madsen
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Jared Gordon finishes 18% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (6-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
Mark Madsen finishes 0% · finished 50% (4 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.