← UFC 295
Lightweight
Result
Mateusz Rebecki def.
SUB · R1 3:08
Tale of the Tape
66"
Reach
73"
33
Age
32
4.79
SLpM
2.84
46%
Str. Acc.
43%
4.36
SApM
3.10
54%
Str. Def.
52%
3.05
TD Avg.
1.18
53%
TD Def.
50%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.70
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Roosevelt Roberts
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Roosevelt Roberts
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Mateusz Rebecki
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Mateusz Rebecki
finishes 25% · finished 25% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox
67%
(4-2)
As the rating underdog
60%
(3-2)
When younger than opponent
50%
(1-1)
When older than opponent
50%
(3-3)
Roosevelt Roberts
finishes 0% · finished 67% (3 fights)
When older than opponent
0%
(0-2)
As the rating underdog
0%
(0-2)
Vs southpaws
0%
(0-2)
With a reach advantage
0%
(0-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.