predicted sports
← UFC 295
Jessica Andrade
26-15 · Orthodox
vs
Mackenzie Dern
16-5 · Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
Result
Jessica Andrade def.
KO/TKO · R2 3:15
Tale of the Tape
62"
Reach
63"
34
Age
33
6.37
SLpM
3.47
48%
Str. Acc.
41%
5.58
SApM
3.93
54%
Str. Def.
51%
2.10
TD Avg.
0.93
75%
TD Def.
37%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Women's Strawweight
202 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
41%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Strawweight
177 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
54%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Strawweight
181 fights · edge Mackenzie Dern
36%
of Women's Strawweight fights end inside the distance
202 fights
By the Numbers
Jessica Andrade finishes 29% · finished 36% (14 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
When younger than opponent 56% (5-4)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)
Giving up reach 46% (6-7)
Mackenzie Dern finishes 25% · finished 8% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 73% (8-3)
Giving up reach 71% (5-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.