← UFC 295
Heavyweight · Title
Result
Tom Aspinall def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:09
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
84"
33
Age
34
7.63
SLpM
4.49
67%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.62
SApM
3.58
56%
Str. Def.
56%
2.62
TD Avg.
0.47
100%
TD Def.
75%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Sergei Pavlovich
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Tom Aspinall
finishes 89% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog
100%
(3-0)
In title fights
100%
(2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage
100%
(2-0)
When younger than opponent
88%
(7-1)
Sergei Pavlovich
finishes 56% · finished 11% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent
83%
(5-1)
With a reach advantage
78%
(7-2)
As the rating favorite
75%
(6-2)
Vs orthodox
75%
(6-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.