predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jailton Almeida
22-5 · Orthodox
vs
Derrick Lewis
29-14 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Jailton Almeida def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
79"
35
Age
41
2.23
SLpM
2.41
62%
Str. Acc.
48%
1.30
SApM
2.79
43%
Str. Def.
38%
5.64
TD Avg.
0.53
60%
TD Def.
51%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Jailton Almeida
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Jailton Almeida
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Jailton Almeida finishes 64% · finished 9% (11 fights)
In 5-round fights 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 88% (7-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
As the rating favorite 70% (7-3)
Derrick Lewis finishes 46% · finished 46% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
In 5-round fights 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.