predicted sports
← UFC 294
Said Nurmagomedov
18-5 · Orthodox
vs
Muin Gafurov
20-7 · Orthodox
Bantamweight
Result
Said Nurmagomedov def.
SUB · R1 1:13
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
68"
34
Age
30
3.08
SLpM
3.36
48%
Str. Acc.
47%
2.05
SApM
2.51
55%
Str. Def.
55%
0.86
TD Avg.
1.57
63%
TD Def.
70%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Muin Gafurov
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Said Nurmagomedov
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Said Nurmagomedov
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
By the Numbers
Said Nurmagomedov finishes 50% · finished 0% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
Vs orthodox 100% (4-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (4-0)
Muin Gafurov finishes 0% · finished 40% (5 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 33% (1-2)
Giving up reach 25% (1-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.