predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Darren Elkins
29-12 · Orthodox
vs
TJ Brown
17-11 · Switch
Featherweight · APEX cage
Result
Darren Elkins def.
SUB · R3 2:23
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
72"
42
Age
36
3.40
SLpM
3.37
38%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.34
SApM
2.89
51%
Str. Def.
49%
2.87
TD Avg.
3.41
56%
TD Def.
36%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
1.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge TJ Brown
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge TJ Brown
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Darren Elkins
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Darren Elkins finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 83% (5-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 75% (3-1)
TJ Brown finishes 14% · finished 29% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (3-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.