predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Nate Maness
16-3 · Orthodox
vs
Mateus Mendonca
10-3 · Orthodox
Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Nate Maness def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:40
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
71"
35
Age
27
3.14
SLpM
1.66
50%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.88
SApM
4.14
42%
Str. Def.
30%
0.68
TD Avg.
2.54
80%
TD Def.
55%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Mateus Mendonca
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Nate Maness
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Nate Maness
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Nate Maness finishes 43% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 71% (5-2)
Mateus Mendonca finishes 0% · finished 33% (3 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-3)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-3)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-3)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.