predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Mohammed Usman
12-4 · Orthodox
vs
Jake Collier
13-10 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Mohammed Usman def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
78"
37
Age
37
3.85
SLpM
5.80
39%
Str. Acc.
44%
4.27
SApM
5.08
51%
Str. Def.
50%
0.56
TD Avg.
0.71
66%
TD Def.
67%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Mohammed Usman
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Mohammed Usman
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Mohammed Usman
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Mohammed Usman finishes 17% · finished 0% (6 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (3-1)
Jake Collier finishes 13% · finished 25% (8 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 40% (2-3)
When younger than opponent 33% (1-2)
Vs orthodox 25% (2-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.