predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Tim Means
33-17-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Andre Fialho
16-8 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Tim Means def.
KO/TKO · R3 1:15
Tale of the Tape
75"
Reach
74"
42
Age
32
5.04
SLpM
3.30
49%
Str. Acc.
41%
3.65
SApM
6.26
60%
Str. Def.
45%
1.14
TD Avg.
0.25
64%
TD Def.
66%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Andre Fialho
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Tim Means
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Andre Fialho
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Tim Means finishes 11% · finished 44% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (4-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)
Andre Fialho finishes 29% · finished 57% (7 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 25% (1-3)
Vs orthodox 20% (1-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.