predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Tom Aspinall
15-3 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Alan Baudot
8-3 (2 NC) · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Tom Aspinall def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:35
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
79"
33
Age
38
7.63
SLpM
5.36
67%
Str. Acc.
58%
3.62
SApM
4.82
56%
Str. Def.
46%
2.62
TD Avg.
0.00
100%
TD Def.
62%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Alan Baudot
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Tom Aspinall
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Tom Aspinall finishes 89% · finished 11% (9 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
In title fights 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 88% (7-1)
Alan Baudot finishes 0% · finished 67% (3 fights)
When older than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
Vs orthodox 0% (0-3)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.