predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jack Della Maddalena
18-4 · Switch
vs
Kevin Holland
29-15 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Jack Della Maddalena def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
81"
29
Age
33
5.32
SLpM
4.24
51%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.24
SApM
3.21
61%
Str. Def.
50%
0.34
TD Avg.
0.79
64%
TD Def.
57%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Jack Della Maddalena
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kevin Holland
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Jack Della Maddalena
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jack Della Maddalena finishes 50% · finished 10% (10 fights)
Vs orthodox 100% (5-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Kevin Holland finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox 64% (7-4)
When younger than opponent 59% (10-7)
As the rating underdog 58% (7-5)
With a reach advantage 55% (12-10)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.