← UFC 293
Heavyweight
Result
Justin Tafa def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:22
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
80"
32
Age
38
4.05
SLpM
2.70
54%
Str. Acc.
50%
5.11
SApM
2.45
47%
Str. Def.
39%
0.00
TD Avg.
1.50
53%
TD Def.
33%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Justin Tafa
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Austen Lane
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Justin Tafa
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Justin Tafa
finishes 43% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent
60%
(3-2)
As the rating underdog
50%
(1-1)
Vs orthodox
43%
(3-4)
Giving up reach
43%
(3-4)
Austen Lane
finishes 0% · finished 83% (6 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage
33%
(1-2)
Vs orthodox
20%
(1-4)
When older than opponent
17%
(1-5)
As the rating underdog
17%
(1-5)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.