predicted sports
← UFC 293
Sean Strickland
31-7 · Orthodox
vs
Israel Adesanya
24-6 · Switch
Middleweight · Title
Result
Sean Strickland def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
76"
Reach
80"
35
Age
36
5.98
SLpM
4.03
42%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.53
SApM
3.22
60%
Str. Def.
55%
0.66
TD Avg.
0.05
68%
TD Def.
76%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Sean Strickland
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Israel Adesanya
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Sean Strickland
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Sean Strickland finishes 20% · finished 7% (15 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (6-0)
Vs orthodox 90% (9-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 88% (7-1)
When younger than opponent 75% (6-2)
Israel Adesanya finishes 18% · finished 36% (11 fights)
In title fights 56% (5-4)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 50% (5-5)
With a reach advantage 45% (5-6)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.