predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Benoit Saint Denis
17-3 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Thiago Moises
19-10 · Orthodox
Lightweight
Result
Benoit Saint Denis def.
KO/TKO · R2 4:44
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
70"
30
Age
31
5.62
SLpM
2.52
58%
Str. Acc.
42%
4.09
SApM
4.40
42%
Str. Def.
52%
4.19
TD Avg.
1.37
72%
TD Def.
52%
1.80
Sub. Avg.
1.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Benoit Saint Denis finishes 75% · finished 17% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Thiago Moises finishes 25% · finished 33% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)
Vs orthodox 63% (5-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 63% (5-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.