predicted sports
← UFC 292
Brad Tavares
21-13 · Orthodox
vs
Chris Weidman
16-8 · Orthodox
Middleweight
Result
Brad Tavares def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
78"
38
Age
42
3.41
SLpM
3.11
43%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.32
SApM
3.37
54%
Str. Def.
51%
0.70
TD Avg.
3.27
80%
TD Def.
72%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Middleweight
379 fights · edge Brad Tavares
52%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Middleweight
341 fights · edge Chris Weidman
60%
the rating favorite wins at Middleweight
343 fights · edge Brad Tavares
58%
of Middleweight fights end inside the distance
379 fights
By the Numbers
Brad Tavares finishes 0% · finished 30% (10 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)
With a reach advantage 50% (1-1)
As the rating underdog 43% (3-4)
Chris Weidman finishes 0% · finished 40% (5 fights)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)
With a reach advantage 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 40% (2-3)
As the rating underdog 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.