predicted sports
← UFC 292
Ian Machado Garry
17-1 · Orthodox
vs
Neil Magny
31-15 · Orthodox
Welterweight
Result
Ian Machado Garry def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
80"
28
Age
38
4.78
SLpM
3.40
54%
Str. Acc.
46%
2.86
SApM
2.44
52%
Str. Def.
51%
0.92
TD Avg.
2.17
80%
TD Def.
55%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.30

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Ian Machado Garry
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Neil Magny
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Ian Machado Garry
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Ian Machado Garry finishes 27% · finished 0% (11 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (8-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (4-0)
When younger than opponent 91% (10-1)
Neil Magny finishes 27% · finished 33% (15 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 60% (6-4)
Vs orthodox 50% (5-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.