predicted sports
← UFC 292
Sean O'Malley
20-3 (1 NC) · Switch
vs
Aljamain Sterling
26-5 · Orthodox
Bantamweight · Title
Result
Sean O'Malley def.
KO/TKO · R2 0:51
Tale of the Tape
72"
Reach
71"
31
Age
36
5.98
SLpM
4.26
60%
Str. Acc.
52%
3.40
SApM
2.15
59%
Str. Def.
59%
0.23
TD Avg.
2.54
60%
TD Def.
44%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

59%
younger fighters win at Bantamweight
349 fights · edge Sean O'Malley
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Bantamweight
303 fights · edge Sean O'Malley
58%
the rating favorite wins at Bantamweight
305 fights · edge Sean O'Malley
43%
of Bantamweight fights end inside the distance
349 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Sean O'Malley finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 73% (8-3)
Aljamain Sterling finishes 11% · finished 11% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (5-0)
In 5-round fights 83% (5-1)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.