predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Martin Buday
16-2 · Orthodox
vs
Josh Parisian
15-8 · Orthodox
Heavyweight · APEX cage
Result
Martin Buday def.
SUB · R1 4:11
Tale of the Tape
77"
Reach
79"
34
Age
37
4.39
SLpM
4.55
53%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.49
SApM
4.88
55%
Str. Def.
41%
0.15
TD Avg.
0.98
93%
TD Def.
46%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Martin Buday
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Josh Parisian
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Martin Buday
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Martin Buday finishes 13% · finished 13% (8 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 88% (7-1)
Vs orthodox 88% (7-1)
Josh Parisian finishes 14% · finished 43% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 50% (2-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (1-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 33% (2-4)
Vs orthodox 29% (2-5)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.