← UFC 291
Welterweight
Result
Kevin Holland def.
SUB · R1 2:39
Tale of the Tape
81"
Reach
75"
33
Age
38
4.24
SLpM
2.02
49%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.21
SApM
1.73
50%
Str. Def.
57%
0.79
TD Avg.
3.11
57%
TD Def.
65%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
1.00
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Kevin Holland
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Kevin Holland
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Kevin Holland
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
By the Numbers
Kevin Holland
finishes 41% · finished 18% (22 fights)
Vs orthodox
64%
(7-4)
When younger than opponent
59%
(10-7)
As the rating underdog
58%
(7-5)
With a reach advantage
55%
(12-10)
Michael Chiesa
finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
100%
(3-0)
Giving up reach
80%
(4-1)
Vs orthodox
63%
(5-3)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.