← UFC 291
Lightweight
Result
King Green def.
SUB · R3 4:54
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
76"
39
Age
42
6.46
SLpM
4.91
53%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.55
SApM
4.37
62%
Str. Def.
55%
1.33
TD Avg.
0.39
72%
TD Def.
66%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.90
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge King Green
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Tony Ferguson
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge King Green
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
King Green
finishes 29% · finished 29% (17 fights)
When younger than opponent
100%
(4-0)
As the rating favorite
88%
(7-1)
Giving up reach
67%
(6-3)
Vs orthodox
57%
(4-3)
Tony Ferguson
finishes 0% · finished 57% (7 fights)
When older than opponent
0%
(0-7)
As the rating underdog
0%
(0-6)
Vs southpaws
0%
(0-3)
Vs orthodox
0%
(0-4)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.