predicted sports
← UFC 291
Derrick Lewis
29-14 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
22-10-1 · Orthodox
Heavyweight
Result
Derrick Lewis def.
KO/TKO · R1 0:33
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
75"
41
Age
41
2.41
SLpM
3.70
48%
Str. Acc.
57%
2.79
SApM
2.90
38%
Str. Def.
51%
0.53
TD Avg.
1.40
51%
TD Def.
59%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Heavyweight
221 fights · edge Marcos Rogerio de Lima
57%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Heavyweight
187 fights · edge Derrick Lewis
60%
the rating favorite wins at Heavyweight
201 fights · edge Derrick Lewis
58%
of Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
221 fights
By the Numbers
Derrick Lewis finishes 46% · finished 46% (13 fights)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
In 5-round fights 63% (5-3)
Marcos Rogerio de Lima finishes 38% · finished 25% (8 fights)
Vs orthodox 83% (5-1)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Giving up reach 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 80% (4-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.