predicted sports
← UFC 291
Alex Pereira
13-4 · Orthodox
vs
Jan Blachowicz
29-11-2 · Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Result
Alex Pereira def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
79"
Reach
78"
38
Age
43
5.01
SLpM
3.55
61%
Str. Acc.
50%
3.72
SApM
3.14
52%
Str. Def.
52%
0.11
TD Avg.
0.98
80%
TD Def.
69%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Alex Pereira
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Alex Pereira
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Alex Pereira
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
By the Numbers
Alex Pereira finishes 62% · finished 15% (13 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (3-0)
Vs southpaws 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 86% (6-1)
Vs orthodox 78% (7-2)
Jan Blachowicz finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
In 5-round fights 75% (3-1)
In title fights 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.