predicted sports
← UFC 290
Alexandre Pantoja
30-6 · Orthodox
vs
Brandon Moreno
23-10-2 · Orthodox
Flyweight · Title
Result
Alexandre Pantoja def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
70"
36
Age
32
4.38
SLpM
3.84
50%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.88
SApM
3.64
49%
Str. Def.
59%
2.79
TD Avg.
1.36
69%
TD Def.
65%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

57%
younger fighters win at Flyweight
209 fights · edge Brandon Moreno
48%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Flyweight
186 fights · edge Brandon Moreno
59%
the rating favorite wins at Flyweight
193 fights · edge Alexandre Pantoja
50%
of Flyweight fights end inside the distance
209 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 40% · finished 10% (10 fights)
Vs southpaws 100% (3-0)
Giving up reach 100% (7-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating favorite 83% (5-1)
Brandon Moreno finishes 36% · finished 9% (11 fights)
As the rating underdog 75% (3-1)
When younger than opponent 63% (5-3)
With a reach advantage 60% (6-4)
In title fights 60% (3-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.