predicted sports
← UFC 290
Alexander Volkanovski
28-4 · Orthodox
vs
Yair Rodriguez
21-6 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Featherweight · Title
Result
Alexander Volkanovski def.
KO/TKO · R3 4:19
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
71"
37
Age
33
5.99
SLpM
4.65
57%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.31
SApM
3.78
58%
Str. Def.
52%
1.63
TD Avg.
0.71
68%
TD Def.
59%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.60

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Yair Rodriguez
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Alexander Volkanovski
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Alexander Volkanovski finishes 20% · finished 20% (10 fights)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
Vs orthodox 86% (6-1)
In title fights 70% (7-3)
Yair Rodriguez finishes 33% · finished 33% (6 fights)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
When younger than opponent 50% (3-3)
Vs orthodox 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.