predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Benoit Saint Denis
17-3 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Ismael Bonfim
20-6 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Benoit Saint Denis def.
SUB · R1 4:48
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
71"
30
Age
30
5.62
SLpM
5.51
58%
Str. Acc.
54%
4.09
SApM
3.71
42%
Str. Def.
65%
4.19
TD Avg.
1.06
72%
TD Def.
76%
1.80
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Ismael Bonfim
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Benoit Saint Denis
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Benoit Saint Denis finishes 75% · finished 17% (12 fights)
When older than opponent 100% (2-0)
Giving up reach 100% (3-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
As the rating underdog 80% (4-1)
Ismael Bonfim finishes 20% · finished 60% (5 fights)
As the rating underdog 50% (2-2)
Vs orthodox 50% (1-1)
Giving up reach 50% (2-2)
When younger than opponent 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.