predicted sports
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Ariane da Silva
17-11 · Orthodox
vs
Melissa Gatto
9-3-2 · Orthodox
Women's Flyweight · APEX cage
Result
Ariane da Silva def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
67"
Reach
69"
32
Age
30
4.05
SLpM
3.47
41%
Str. Acc.
49%
4.40
SApM
2.67
50%
Str. Def.
54%
0.47
TD Avg.
1.77
68%
TD Def.
58%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

58%
younger fighters win at Women's Flyweight
187 fights · edge Melissa Gatto
49%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Women's Flyweight
162 fights · edge Melissa Gatto
63%
the rating favorite wins at Women's Flyweight
168 fights · edge Melissa Gatto
37%
of Women's Flyweight fights end inside the distance
188 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Ariane da Silva finishes 18% · finished 36% (11 fights)
When older than opponent 67% (2-1)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 63% (5-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 60% (3-2)
Melissa Gatto finishes 50% · finished 0% (6 fights)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
Vs orthodox 50% (3-3)
With a reach advantage 50% (3-3)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.