predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Manuel Torres
17-4 · Switch
vs
Nikolas Motta
15-6 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Manuel Torres def.
KO/TKO · R1 1:50
Tale of the Tape
73"
Reach
70"
31
Age
33
6.57
SLpM
4.13
56%
Str. Acc.
38%
4.24
SApM
5.28
50%
Str. Def.
52%
1.32
TD Avg.
0.00
76%
TD Def.
83%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Manuel Torres
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Manuel Torres
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Manuel Torres
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Manuel Torres finishes 71% · finished 29% (7 fights)
As the rating underdog 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 83% (5-1)
With a reach advantage 80% (4-1)
Nikolas Motta finishes 33% · finished 50% (6 fights)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
Giving up reach 60% (3-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (2-2)
As the rating underdog 40% (2-3)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.