← UFC 289
Featherweight
Result
Kyle Nelson def.
U-DEC
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
68"
35
Age
35
3.60
SLpM
3.81
45%
Str. Acc.
48%
4.58
SApM
4.15
53%
Str. Def.
53%
1.18
TD Avg.
0.31
66%
TD Def.
71%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.60
The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.
How fights like this tend to go
league history
League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.
55%
younger fighters win at Featherweight
365 fights · edge Kyle Nelson
50%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Featherweight
315 fights · edge Kyle Nelson
55%
the rating favorite wins at Featherweight
320 fights · edge Kyle Nelson
49%
of Featherweight fights end inside the distance
365 fights
By the Numbers
Kyle Nelson
finishes 13% · finished 38% (8 fights)
When younger than opponent
60%
(3-2)
As the rating underdog
57%
(4-3)
Vs orthodox
50%
(2-2)
With a reach advantage
50%
(1-1)
Blake Bilder
finishes 0% · finished 0% (3 fights)
As the rating favorite
50%
(1-1)
Vs orthodox
50%
(1-1)
When older than opponent
33%
(1-2)
Giving up reach
33%
(1-2)
Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.