predicted sports
← UFC 289
Charles Oliveira
37-11 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Beneil Dariush
23-8-1 · Southpaw
Lightweight
Result
Charles Oliveira def.
KO/TKO · R1 4:10
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
72"
36
Age
37
3.23
SLpM
3.74
55%
Str. Acc.
49%
3.05
SApM
2.63
48%
Str. Def.
57%
2.29
TD Avg.
2.21
54%
TD Def.
82%
2.60
Sub. Avg.
0.80

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Charles Oliveira
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Charles Oliveira
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Charles Oliveira
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
By the Numbers
Charles Oliveira finishes 45% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (6-0)
As the rating favorite 86% (6-1)
Vs southpaws 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
Beneil Dariush finishes 11% · finished 44% (9 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 100% (2-0)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
In the small (APEX) cage 100% (2-0)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.