predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Muhammad Naimov
13-4 · Orthodox
vs
Jamie Mullarkey
18-9 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Muhammad Naimov def.
KO/TKO · R2 2:59
Tale of the Tape
70"
Reach
74"
31
Age
31
2.51
SLpM
4.10
40%
Str. Acc.
46%
3.35
SApM
4.28
44%
Str. Def.
54%
1.49
TD Avg.
2.46
68%
TD Def.
70%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.10

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jamie Mullarkey
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jamie Mullarkey
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Muhammad Naimov
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Muhammad Naimov finishes 29% · finished 29% (7 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (3-0)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
Vs orthodox 71% (5-2)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
Jamie Mullarkey finishes 17% · finished 42% (12 fights)
When younger than opponent 80% (4-1)
As the rating favorite 63% (5-3)
With a reach advantage 60% (3-2)
Vs orthodox 56% (5-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.