predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jim Miller
39-19 (1 NC) · Southpaw
vs
Jesse Butler
12-6 · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Jim Miller def.
KO/TKO · R1 0:23
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
73"
42
Age
34
2.92
SLpM
2.02
42%
Str. Acc.
34%
3.43
SApM
4.62
56%
Str. Def.
39%
1.49
TD Avg.
0.00
47%
TD Def.
0%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jesse Butler
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Jesse Butler
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Jim Miller
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jim Miller finishes 58% · finished 0% (12 fights)
As the rating favorite 80% (4-1)
With a reach advantage 67% (2-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 67% (4-2)
When older than opponent 60% (6-4)
Jesse Butler finishes 0% · finished 50% (2 fights)
When younger than opponent 0% (0-2)
As the rating underdog 0% (0-2)
With a reach advantage 0% (0-2)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.