predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Diego Ferreira
19-7 · Orthodox
vs
Michael Johnson
25-20 · Southpaw
Lightweight · APEX cage
Result
Diego Ferreira def.
KO/TKO · R2 1:50
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
73"
41
Age
40
4.70
SLpM
4.27
39%
Str. Acc.
39%
3.46
SApM
3.78
55%
Str. Def.
58%
0.82
TD Avg.
0.57
57%
TD Def.
81%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Michael Johnson
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge Diego Ferreira
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge Diego Ferreira
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Diego Ferreira finishes 29% · finished 43% (7 fights)
Vs southpaws 50% (2-2)
When older than opponent 29% (2-5)
As the rating underdog 29% (2-5)
With a reach advantage 29% (2-5)
Michael Johnson finishes 22% · finished 22% (9 fights)
When older than opponent 67% (4-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
As the rating favorite 50% (2-2)
Vs southpaws 50% (1-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.