predicted sports
← UFC 253
Jan Blachowicz
29-11-2 · Orthodox
vs
Dominick Reyes
16-5 · Southpaw
Light Heavyweight · Title
Result
Jan Blachowicz def.
KO/TKO · R2 4:36
Tale of the Tape
78"
Reach
77"
43
Age
36
3.55
SLpM
4.99
50%
Str. Acc.
53%
3.14
SApM
3.40
52%
Str. Def.
49%
0.98
TD Avg.
0.25
69%
TD Def.
82%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.20

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

54%
younger fighters win at Light Heavyweight
214 fights · edge Dominick Reyes
51%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Light Heavyweight
184 fights · edge Jan Blachowicz
61%
the rating favorite wins at Light Heavyweight
195 fights · edge Dominick Reyes
66%
of Light Heavyweight fights end inside the distance
214 fights
46%
of title fights go the distance
127 fights
By the Numbers
Jan Blachowicz finishes 33% · finished 17% (6 fights)
In 5-round fights 75% (3-1)
In title fights 67% (2-1)
When older than opponent 60% (3-2)
As the rating underdog 60% (3-2)
Dominick Reyes finishes 38% · finished 50% (8 fights)
With a reach advantage 100% (2-0)
When younger than opponent 67% (2-1)
As the rating underdog 50% (4-4)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.