predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
Jeremiah Wells
13-4-1 · Switch
vs
Matthew Semelsberger
11-8 · Switch
Welterweight · APEX cage
Result
Jeremiah Wells def.
S-DEC
Tale of the Tape
74"
Reach
75"
39
Age
33
2.35
SLpM
3.77
46%
Str. Acc.
42%
1.28
SApM
4.24
48%
Str. Def.
54%
3.06
TD Avg.
1.01
50%
TD Def.
45%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.40

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

62%
younger fighters win at Welterweight
362 fights · edge Matthew Semelsberger
54%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Welterweight
320 fights · edge Matthew Semelsberger
62%
the rating favorite wins at Welterweight
325 fights · edge Jeremiah Wells
51%
of Welterweight fights end inside the distance
362 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
Jeremiah Wells finishes 43% · finished 14% (7 fights)
When older than opponent 80% (4-1)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating favorite 67% (4-2)
Giving up reach 67% (4-2)
Matthew Semelsberger finishes 18% · finished 18% (11 fights)
When older than opponent 50% (3-3)
As the rating favorite 50% (3-3)
Vs orthodox 50% (4-4)
In the small (APEX) cage 50% (4-4)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.