predicted sports
← UFC Fight Night
King Green
35-17-1 (1 NC) · Orthodox
vs
Jared Gordon
21-9 (1 NC) · Orthodox
Lightweight · APEX cage
Tale of the Tape
71"
Reach
68"
39
Age
37
6.46
SLpM
5.57
53%
Str. Acc.
53%
3.55
SApM
4.11
62%
Str. Def.
55%
1.33
TD Avg.
1.91
72%
TD Def.
60%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00

The longer bar / bold number is the edge on that row.

How fights like this tend to go
league history

League-wide rates for this matchup's profile — who they point to here is flagged. Descriptive, not a prediction.

61%
younger fighters win at Lightweight
397 fights · edge Jared Gordon
53%
the longer-reach fighter wins at Lightweight
348 fights · edge King Green
58%
the rating favorite wins at Lightweight
354 fights · edge King Green
56%
of Lightweight fights end inside the distance
397 fights
51%
of fights in the APEX cage end in a finish
1,335 fights
By the Numbers
King Green finishes 29% · finished 29% (17 fights)
When younger than opponent 100% (4-0)
As the rating favorite 88% (7-1)
Giving up reach 67% (6-3)
Vs orthodox 57% (4-3)
Jared Gordon finishes 18% · finished 27% (11 fights)
When younger than opponent 75% (3-1)
Vs orthodox 75% (6-2)
In the small (APEX) cage 75% (3-1)
As the rating underdog 67% (2-1)

Win rate by context, from the fight log. Splits with too few fights are hidden.